china Foreign Policy Míng Jīnwéi (明金维)

How Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan Has Enabled China to Redefine the Rules of the Game

Nancy Pelosi meeting with the Vice President of the Legislative Yuan Tsai Chi-chang in Taipei. Office of U.S. House Speaker, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

By Míng Jīnwéi (明金维)

Editor’s Note: This article was distributed by a Chinese government accepted source, but we believe it is worthy of a wider audience because it provides documentation of important ongoing dialogue within top circles in China unavailable elsewhere.

1) Many of my friends were disappointed when Pelosi arrived in Taiwan. I also originally expected that the PLA Navy and Air Force might directly deter Pelosi so that her plane would not dare or could not land. I believe the PLA Navy and Air Force definitely have the strength to do so as well. But this move is extremely risky, as planes are in the air, often in the nick of time, and a few seconds determine life or death. Once Pelosi is really shot down, that is the risk of a direct military conflict between China and the United States. In the end, what we want is the reunification of our country, not war with the United States. Of course, if the U.S. ends up using force to stop China’s reunification, it will be a war against aggression and interference in its internal affairs for China, and the division will be well known, and China will have the determination and strength to complete the task.

2) Letting Pelosi’s plane land in Taiwan also shows that the focus of this round of struggle is not to stop Pelosi’s visit at all costs, but how to fight for a more favorable situation in the struggle against Taiwan and the United States after Pelosi’s visit. Just like Japan’s nationalization of the Diaoyu Islands in 2012, the focus of our struggle is not to prevent Japan from nationalizing the islands at all costs, but how to defend the islands after Japan’s nationalization. After Japan’s nationalization, how can we go further in defending the sovereignty of the Diaoyu Islands? Now, ten years have passed and Chinese maritime police vessels are routinely patrolling the Diaoyu Islands and entering and leaving the 12-nautical-mile territorial waters. It should be said that Japan’s “nationalization” was originally a provocative move, but in the end it led to a more effective defense of China’s sovereignty over the Diaoyu Islands.

(3) I myself feel that the current situation is somewhat similar to the shelling of Kinmen in 1958, when “only Chiang’s ships were hit, not American ships”, which is a struggle strategy.

(4) From the moment Pelosi set foot on Chinese soil in Taiwan Province, the so-called “center line of the strait” has completely ceased to exist. The location of the next military exercise has fully illustrated this issue. We can ask ourselves if it would be a good thing if, after Pelosi’s visit, PLA ships and aircraft could routinely train east of the so-called “center line” and closer to Taiwan to the east of Taiwan. Although China does not recognize the “center line of the strait”, it has been relatively restrained over the years and generally does not cross the line for training. In the face of U.S.-Taiwan collusion, China is indeed taking another step forward by breaking the tacit agreement and restraint regarding the “center line of the strait”.

5) Breaking the so-called “strait center line” may be just a step for China to counter and punish Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, and we can look forward to the next actions.

(6) Maybe at this moment some friends feel that “it’s not too much” “it’s not enjoyable” “it’s not painful” and the US imperialists and the boring politicians in Taiwan province can pop up again for a while. However, it is often said that “the higher you jump, the heavier you fall”. The example of Hong Kong has shown that it’s not the time to be unrewarded, but when the time comes, all the jumpers will fall without fail.

(7) On the Taiwan issue, the strategic interests of China and the United States are not in the same order of magnitude, which determines the strategic determination and strategic resources that China and the United States can devote to this issue. Therefore, if anyone is a “paper tiger,” it must be the United States.

8) Although I would also like to see the U.S. imperialists and the boring, vicious politicians in Taiwan Province severely punished today, and would like to wake up and witness history, from a rational point of view, it is better to choose the way and point in time that is relatively least costly and expensive for the Chinese nation to solve the Taiwan issue once and for all. In this process, sometimes it is inevitable to feel some stifling, just as in the 2019 Hong Kong incident when the black violence forces were at their most rampant, but hindsight proves that the introduction of the Hong Kong District National Security Law was clearly a more brilliant choice than the direct use of the military and armed police at that time, and a more effective and least costly choice. The struggle situation is the most complex, the most severe time, is often the most test of strategic wisdom, strategic patience and strategic determination. At any time, we are fighting for the fundamental interests of the country and the nation and long-term interests, not fighting for the will.

(9) If some people feel aggrieved because they are looking forward to the reunification of the country and worried about how to combat the “Taiwan independence” elements, it is human nature. I don’t have any inside information, and sometimes I am inevitably swayed by emotions, so sometimes I feel similarly. But no matter what, we all hope for the good of our country, and we all hope for the early realization of national rejuvenation. At the same time, there are some people who, when they see Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, not only do not condemn the provocative American politicians, but also wait to see the so-called “joke” of China, and on some occasions sneer and sneer, which is not a common sense. No true patriot would wait to see the “jokes” of his country. What’s more, these “country-haters” have limited information, and the so-called “joke” in their eyes is just a fragment or an aspect of the development process. At the end of the day, China is getting better and better, and China has done what it said it would do in solving the Taiwan issue once and for all, and the real “joke” is precisely these people themselves.

(10) The Taiwan issue will eventually be resolved, and we must have both confidence and patience. Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan is destined to help China establish several milestones in the process of completing national reunification. From this point of view, when the country is reunified, we should not forget to thank “Comrade Pelosi”. Although she is more than 80 years old today, I guess she should still be around when the time comes.

P.S. The fact that some people felt some disappointment after Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan may also be related to expectations. How to manage and guide the public’s reasonable expectations in similar major struggles in the future may also be an issue to be considered.

One opinion, for reference only.

15 comments

  1. What if the Chinese are allowing these events to happen to study how the US reacts to their moves? What if this is another form of Judo…using your opponents power to defeat him? What if the Chinese are only biding their time? China can hurt the West most through economic strangulation and the overthrow of the dollar. Might this not be winning a war without a shot? Both the Chinese and Russians believe in Progressive War, not Total War like the Americans do. Besides they have more to gain in the end.

  2. Brilliant. Thanks for posting. Clear thinking and analysis that demonstrates why China, over the last decade, has risen dramatically and why in the next decade will eclipse the United States in every level of endeavor.

  3. I can feel the weight of centuries of Chinese philosophical thought as found in the I Ching, Book of Changes, and poetry of Lao Tzu, Li Po, and others. Such a contrast to whatever “thought” exists in the USA’s purported defense of Taiwan.

  4. You’d think that ruling the numerous mainland Chinese would be hard enough without demanding tribute from Taiwan. It may be greed, since any occupation could lead to a Taiwanese insurgency, particularly if China were to expropriate Taiwan’s wealth and the islanders felt robbed. Britain has hung on to Northern Ireland, albeit its not quite the same problem, and expended all kinds of blood and treasure to do so. Perhaps China should realise the natural administrative isolation of island and should just walk away. Some of the most fragile and biodiverse rainforest in the world is in Taiwan, you’d hate to see Chinese developers- or before them, armies, roll over that. And yet I can believe that the average PRC citizen would love to see Taiwan and might dream of moving there.

    1. perhaps you should not be a nazi and return Hawaii to native peoples, Alaska to Russia, sw of USA to Mexico…Taiwan is China and will be reunited this decade

      1. Giligan, let me add that Falkland islands to Argentina not the British Empire; Garcia Diego, Okinawa, Mid Way,& Guam to their native islanders not US bases.
        How about a weird surveyors’ error of the NW angle where a pocket of land in Canada is American territory?
        Or hundreds of America bases that pollutes their land and water with oil spills, and corrupts their government, and weakens their health with Rampant obesity and diabetes, and changes their culture to be a version of Americana.
        There are little news coverage as incidents are paid off and white washed especially rape and sex assaults, sex diseases.
        It is wonderful that we get thousands of Phillipines to enlist in our under staffed navies. It is their best way out of poverty, and our source of cheap mercenaries.
        Taiwan, it seems, feared the Hong Kong crackdown but foreigners funded and organized the HK rioted for a whole year. No one was killed in that year compared to January 6th riots and the after math resulting in
        6 American deaths.
        Maybe China will wait for another Blue /Red civil war.

  5. Hell, even Kissinger understands and is exposing the fact that Bye Bye Byeden, Obama, and all the way back to Bush and Clinton were always “ginning-up” forward pressure on Russia and China to instigate Mooore Waaar — for the MIC “Quiet American” EMPIRE.

  6. “Strike not where your adversary is prepared, but strike where he is unprepared and at a time that he does not expect.”

    China is patient. Why rush to exact revenge at great costs? Time is on China’s side, and as USA continues to decline, the external support to Taiwan will weaken and the independence hawks will quiet down, while the pro-unification voices within Taiwan will get louder. If ever USA collapses, reunification will just be a piece of cake.

  7. a decayed decadent empire always become desperate and childish—attempts to delay collapse by mollifying the well fed rats and meddle in the affairs of civilized nations—observed by Simmel, Toynbee, etc

  8. The hysterical, furniture-hurling, bug-eyed attack on China is motivated by two coincident, world-altering things happening more or less at once, overlapping in significance and effects.

    One is the deranged collapse of capitalism, temporarily saved by FDR but now in full exploitative, neoliberal collapse.

    The hysteria has a deep, atavistic source, even more basic than the geopolitical and economic realms — race.

    State Department Official on China Threat: For First Time U.S. Has ‘Great Power Competitor That Is Not Caucasian
    https://www.newsweek.com/china-threat-state-department-race-caucasian-1413202

    “In China we have an economic competitor, we have an ideological competitor, one that really does seek a kind of global reach that many of us didn’t expect a couple of decades ago. And I think it’s also striking that it’s the first time that we will have a great power competitor that is not Caucasian . . .”

    Japan was subjected to race-baiting and “Yellow Peril” attacks merely for daring to outdo the US in autos and semiconductors. China’s “threat” is overarching and offers far better social model, and is lifting many of the world’s non-white people to genuine independence.

    Lethal to the white supremacy at the core of American neoliberal capitalism and hegemony.

    The death-rattle of capitalist neoliberalism started in earnest with the financial collapse of 2007-8 — which still roils the EU and whose effects include intensified the centrifugal forces. Financial disarray teamed with the refugees pushed into Europe by American and allied wars only made things worse.

    Waiting in the wings : the financial. economic and social disaster that’s going to result from the Ukrainian NATO-purposed war, as the effects roil western societies. Hungary has just declared the sanctions as self-harming and ineffective, for sure the Germans and the French know this is true.

    NATO’s drang nach Osten is ultimately aimed at China: Russia needs to be reduced to a group of weak statelets or at least de facto independent provinces — giving the US access to central Asia and stopping the Road and Belt project in its tracks and a opening route to send its jihadis into Xinjiang.

    The US is trying to goad China into making a premature and mistaken invasion, but China is clearly too smart to be hoodwinked in this way. Time is on China’s side. not America’s.

  9. If I must say she does a remarkable job of accessorizing, one must have at least one talent.

  10. The US is on the way to collapse both.politial and economic.China is rising
    The Racists in the US they will coopetayecan not deal.with and accept that their control and Empire days are numbered.How the Capitalists deal with this collapse has great import on civilization.I hope that they will create a new reality.instead.of blowing.up the planet.

    1. relax—US rulers will not risk their mansions and swiss bank accounts…collapse is seldom sudden but a gradual decline—the worst “collapse” in USA is culture…”the banality of america—the radical absence of culture”. J Baudrilliard

  11. PELOSI : AMERICA’S GODMOTHER OF THE ORGANIZED CRIMINALIZATION
    OF POLITICS

    As Speaker, Pelosi has consistently run a public campaign of fraud and deception.
    Of social issues of which corporate power finds little opportunity to extract profit,
    Pelosi is always front and center in front of a microphone proclaiming her support.
    Meanwhile this faith-based Christian/Corporate fascist consistently slithers off
    to the shadows of her office constantly betraying the people’s trust with endless
    corporate give aways of the people’s trust, wealth and power in effort to empower
    and enrich the wealthy.
    As a Faith based fascist, she consistently demonstrates the twisted belief that
    possession of deep faith is an entitlement to gods promise and entitlement to
    great wealth for the privileged.
    Once on a faith based TV program she proclaimed ” I run the Congress out of the
    Book of Mathew”. No sane, informed voter would of course approve of such secret fascist madness.

    One of her secret betrayals of the peoples trust is as follows :
    She secretly brokered a so called Trade Deal with corporate power to sell the over
    production of tax payer subsidized grain to South American Countries.
    At giveaway prices, just to get rid of the grain , thousands of peasant farmers were
    put out of business, destitute and consequently fled to the US in search of work.
    Of one country however, peasant farmers rose up to their corrupted politicians,
    surrounded their Capital , beat them with clubs and pitch forks, forced them out…
    and then sat down and passed a law outlawing Pelosi’s CENTRAL AMERICAN
    TRADE DEAL.
    Corrupt politicians like Pelosi have brokered the theft of over 70 trillion dollars
    from the peoples economy since Regan merged the Corporation and the Church
    with the peoples governments.

    PELOSI DID NOT GO TO TIAWAN IN SUPPORT FOR THEIR DEMOCRACY.
    SHE WENT TO TIAWAN TO SECRETLY MANEUVER A SO-CALLED TRADE DEAL.
    She even stated her purpose of “Trade ” once she stepped onto the tarmac.

    As demonstrated, her intent was to broker dirty deals to extract natural recourses
    and probably slave labor via the Taiwanese officials of which her oligarch donors
    will bribe.
    If this provokes war with China, Pelosi of which has long destroyed her dignity and
    conscience, … is incapable of understanding the horrible consequence of war because
    her only capacity to this reality is that war would benefit the faith-based reality of her
    Military Industrial Complex donors.
    THUS, this is the horrible danger the world now faces by allowing Corporate and
    Christian Fascists to hijack our Governments!

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