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Posted by Joshua Scheer

As Washington debates Iran, Ukraine, and nuclear red lines, Ray McGovern argues the real battle isn’t on the battlefield — it’s over intelligence, narrative, and whether history is about to repeat itself.

In this episode of Judging Freedom, hosted by Andrew Napolitano, former CIA analyst Ray McGovern delivers a sweeping analysis of rising global tensions — from British-backed strikes deep inside Russia to the escalating rhetoric around Iran’s nuclear program.

The discussion moves quickly across three dangerous fronts:

  • A reported UK-facilitated strike inside Russia and the risk of escalation between Moscow and NATO.
  • The role of U.S. intelligence agencies in shaping (or resisting) narratives about Iran’s nuclear capabilities.
  • Whether President Trump is being pressured toward confrontation — or maneuvering toward negotiation.

At the center of the debate is a crucial distinction McGovern insists the public must understand: the difference between uranium enrichment and an actual nuclear weapons program. Citing past intelligence assessments — including the 2007 estimate that restrained the Bush administration — he warns against what he calls the “conflation” that paved the way to the Iraq War.

The conversation also revisits long-standing claims by Benjamin Netanyahu about Iran being “weeks away” from a bomb, placing today’s rhetoric in historical context. Meanwhile, possible negotiations in Geneva suggest diplomacy may still be in play — even as military forces reposition across the region.

Is this the prelude to another undeclared war?
Or a high-stakes bluff that ends in a deal?

McGovern contends that despite the drumbeat of escalation, Trump may ultimately back away from direct conflict — framing diplomacy as victory rather than weakness.

This episode explores whether America is on the brink of another Middle East war — or whether cooler intelligence assessments can still restrain the push toward confrontation.

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