Economy Politics Shailly Gupta Barnes

Anti-Poverty Measures Work—The Proof Is in the Census

But to truly end poverty, we must do more — and if poor people and their allies come together, we can.
[K-State Research and Extension /CC BY 2.0]

By Shailly Gupta Barnes | OtherWords

The U.S. Census Bureau recently reported that poverty dropped notably in 2021. Amid a pandemic and widespread economic pain, this is a significant accomplishment.

There are three lessons here — about government programs, about how we measure poverty, and about how far we have left to go.

First, these numbers show that government programs work. After Social Security, refundable tax credits like the expanded Child Tax Credit (CTC) and stimulus payments were the biggest contributors to reducing poverty.

Without them, over 20 million more people would have been poor last year. The expanded CTC alone lifted millions of children above the poverty line and reduced racial inequities among poor children.

These programs worked because they departed significantly from how anti-poverty programs have worked for the past 30 years. They provided direct cash transfers to recipients, without any work requirements or bureaucratic indignities.

Welfare rights organizers have been pushing for these changes for decades. This year, they were proven right.

But unfortunately, official federal poverty figures still conceal the true number of people who are struggling — and underestimate the scale of our responsibility to help them.

At just $31,000 for a family of four, the federal government’s Supplemental Poverty Measure, or SPM, is far too low. That’s less than half of the typical cost of living for a family this size in rural Mississippi, or just one-third for Chicago. And the official poverty measure, or OPM, is even lower.

I’m the policy director of the Poor People’s Campaign, which defines poverty to include everyone living up to 200 percent of the SPM.

Using this measure, which is still less than median income, we counted 140 million people — or 43 percent of the country — who were poor or one emergency away from being poor before the pandemic. In 2021, this rate went down to about 34 percent, or 112 million people.

This is a significant decrease. But it means over a third of our nation has little to celebrate.

In fact, the population living between 100 percent and 200 percent of the SPM threshold stayed basically the same between 2020 and 2021: nearly 90 million people, just one emergency away from poverty. If we only looked at the poverty rate, we would have missed them entirely.

That means we can and must do more. The expanded CTC expired in December 2021, and there has been no further discussion of reviving stimulus payments — even with the federal minimum wage at its lowest value in 66 years and the cost of living continuing to rise.

This is not to minimize the gains we’ve made. They just remind us that poverty is a policy choice — and fortunately, we can make different choices.

In 2020, there were over 80 million eligible poor and low-income voters. Fifty million of them voted in the presidential contest, accounting for a third of the electorate overall and even higher percentages in key states in the Midwest and South.

These voters share a common interest in securing health care, living wages, decent housing, and safe schools for their kids. If they could be organized to take action together — across race, religion, and other lines of division — we could advance the moral policies we need to fully address poverty.

“What’s hurting me in Kentucky is hurting you in Alabama, in West Virginia, and across the nation,” said Tayna Fogle, a leader in the Kentucky Poor People’s Campaign, earlier this year.

“Can you imagine all the poor and the low-income people coming to the ballot box?” she asked. “What if we did everything we could to make sure that our vote counted? We could overturn this madness that’s going on.”

If poor people vote in the midterms like they did in 2020, we could make another leap towards ending the madness of widespread poverty in the midst of plenty.

Shailly Gupta Barnes

Shailly Gupta Barnes

Shailly Gupta Barnes is the Policy Director for the Poor People’s Campaign: A National Call for Moral Revival and the Kairos Center. This op-ed was distributed by


  1. Anti-poverty programs also work for government workers. Why not replace all welfare programs with a universal basic income allowing people to work out their own solutions?

    1. What are considered welfare programs today? There is nothing for the very poor. TANF is a short-term, marginally subsidized work program, only for those with young children. It’s not an entitlement, by definition, so qualified applicants might not even get that. Food stamps are for low wage workers, low-income seniors and the disabled. Now 26 years into the Democrats’ war on the poor.

      1. Welfare today includes Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Food Stamps, energy assistance, farm subsidies, student loans, etc.
        Bureaucrats benefit by keeping people dependent on the dole. They also benefit from wages and benefits like retirement and healthcare. It’s a great racket for bureaucrats and their unions.

  2. Hello. I have been a big supporter of what is now called basic income for a long time. I am Canadian. However, I have concluded that it will not work under capitalism.

    It will give people a temporary boost until the landlords, employees, and local governments figure out how to capture it. A BI movement could give a boost to eliminating capitalism.

    I believe that fiction stories are sometimes a very good way of making a point to people. So I have turned my ideas on BI into some stories which eventually I will turn into a novel. Go and read chapter one. I am looking for constructive feed back about it.

  3. I think that new census modified methodology since poorest kids families don’t get tax credits. I can’t remember which podcast analyzed this. I think it was The Dig or Jacobin.

    1. The poorest kids are taken from their parents. Low wage workers qualify for tax refunds.

  4. Why would you trust the Census Report to be telling you anything truthful. In the Empire of Lies, everything is corrupted and I see no reason to think that doesn’t include the Census Report.

    I cannot think of when the American government told me the truth about anything.

    All I see are all the shopping carts from the local grocery store abandoned all up and down avenue left by poor people who now have to push their groceries home. I never saw a single one before the start of the pandemic and now sometimes I go in the grocery store and they have no carts at all for use because they are all strung out down the road.

    1. America’s poor can’t afford groceries. They are poor. To be poor means to have very little or no incomes.

  5. Excluded from the Democrat discussion: A few million fellow Americans left with $0 incomes. There is no welfare aid for them, and tax credits are quite irrelevant for those with little or no incomes. We have no way to get an actual count of them, nor is there any interest in trying. Since Biden took office, they have entirely been disappeared from the media/public discussion. That is morally reprehensible.

  6. If the poor came to vote, as the author suggests, who could they vote FOR? No party, and not a single candidate, represents the poor today.

    1. Exactly they are waiting to come out but what is our platform really? The left has no workable vision. Too many are still tecno utopians

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